Blog

The Politics of Poverty and Hope: Why the World Needs More Optimism

Prof. Dan Banik, Centre for Global Sustainability, University of Oslo

The twenty-first century is often described as an age of crisis. From wars, terrorism and financial instability to climate breakdown and pandemics, a steady stream of emergencies dominates headlines and political agendas. While this crisis-centric narrative captures public attention, it also corrodes confidence in the future, generating widespread anxiety and political disillusionment. For younger generations in particular, relentless doom-laden messaging has become a source of paralysis rather than action. However, despair is neither inevitable nor constructive. While the world faces real and urgent challenges, it also possesses unprecedented capabilities to address them. What is missing is not capacity, but confidence – a politics that takes hope seriously. Not naïve optimism, but evidence-based optimism: hope grounded in facts, data, and concrete solutions.This blog argues that hope must become a political priority. To build sustainable societies, policymakers need to rebalance the narrative: acknowledging crises without allowing them to define the future, while designing institutions and policies that expand human well-being and resilience.

Persistent crises and the case for hope

Policymakers are under constant pressure to respond to crises. Media incentives and political cycles reinforce short-term thinking, focusing attention on threats rather than long-term progress. While vigilance is necessary, an overemphasis on catastrophe erodes trust in governance and discourages citizens from participating in collective problem-solving.

Crises, however, may also have a transformative potential. The Covid-19 pandemic demonstrated that urgent threats can catalyze extraordinary global cooperation. Within months, governments, private firms, and research institutions coordinated to produce and distribute life-saving vaccines. Similar momentum has emerged in climate policy, with renewable energy investment accelerating at record speed. The lesson for politics is clear: urgency can fuel innovation when paired with optimism and institutional readiness. Policymakers must therefore cultivate narratives of possibility alongside narratives of risk. Hope, grounded in evidence, can mobilize citizens and governments alike.

Evidence of progress: A foundation for policy

Contrary to the prevailing sense of doom, global development indicators reveal remarkable achievements over the past century. Recognizing these achievements is not a call to complacency, but a foundation for informed policymaking.

  • Public health: Life expectancy has doubled since 1900, now surpassing 70 years globally. Vaccination campaigns, sanitation improvements, and medical innovations have saved millions of lives.
  • Poverty reduction: Extreme poverty has fallen from around 40% of the global population in 1980 to under 10% today, thanks to economic growth, global trade, and targeted social policies.
  • Education: Literacy rates have soared, with more children, especially girls, enrolled in school than at any point in history.
  • Environmental progress: Air pollution in major cities like Beijing has declined sharply, and renewable energy additions in 2023 grew by nearly 50% compared to the previous year.
  • Infrastructure and technology: Billions now have access to electricity, clean water, and digital communications, enabling new opportunities for participation in economic and political life.

These successes underscore the importance of governance. Progress has not been automatic; it has been achieved through deliberate policy choices, international cooperation, and civil society activism. The role of the state, combined with the diffusion of ideas and technologies, has been decisive. Hans Rosling, Charles Kenny, and Hannah Ritchie, among others, have emphasized the need to highlight such data-driven stories. Their message is that political leaders must anchor their policy visions not in despair, but in demonstrable evidence that progress is possible.

The politics of poverty and hope

Hope becomes political when it shapes governance priorities and institutional design. Policymakers face three critical imperatives.

Strengthening the state–society compact

Effective states remain essential for sustainable progress. They provide the infrastructure, education, and health systems that underpin development. However, governments must also engage constructively with civil society. Grassroots activism (from climate strikes to slum dwellers organizing for housing rights) demonstrates how citizen engagement generates both pressure and innovation. My mentor James C. Scott’s work reminds us that while states impose order, “weapons of the weak” can shift power dynamics from below. A hopeful politics therefore requires an inclusive governance model that values citizen participation rather than fearing it.

Prioritizing systemic over individual change

Individual behavior change is important but insufficient. Recycling or “voting with wallets” cannot substitute for systemic reforms in energy, agriculture, and transportation. Governments must adopt industrial policies that accelerate renewable deployment, carbon pricing, and sustainable food systems. International organizations can help set standards, mobilize finance, and coordinate technology transfer to ensure global equity in these transitions. The politics of sustainability must therefore move beyond moral appeals to individuals and focus on structural reforms that enable collective action.

Moving beyond Eurocentric frameworks

Much of the global debate on crises remains anchored in Western narratives, framing instability as exceptional. However, for many in the Global South, precariousness is normal. Climate impacts, fragile institutions, and chronic inequality are lived realities. Policy frameworks that ignore this diversity risk irrelevance or worse, perpetuating dependency.

A hopeful global politics must prioritize inclusive institutions and South-led solutions. This means reforming multilateral development banks to address debt sustainability, increasing investment in locally adapted renewable energy systems, and ensuring that global governance structures reflect demographic and economic shifts towards the Global South.

Policy pathways for more optimism

To translate hope into political reality, policymakers must pursue strategies that are both pragmatic and ambitious. Several priorities stand out:

  1. Integrating well-being indicators into governance: Beyond GDP, governments should track progress on health, education, environmental quality, and equity, ensuring that policies deliver tangible improvements in people’s lives.
  2. Scaling proven solutions: From vaccine distribution to renewable deployment, successful models exist. Policymakers must focus on scaling, adapting, and financing them rather than reinventing the wheel.
  3. Investing in resilience: Climate adaptation, social protection systems, and disaster preparedness must be mainstreamed into policy frameworks to protect vulnerable populations.
  4. Reforming global institutions: Multilateral organizations must be reoriented to reflect contemporary challenges, with more inclusive governance and stronger mechanisms for technology transfer and financing.
  5. Fostering civic education and participation. Evidence-based hope should be part of curricula and public communication strategies, equipping citizens to engage critically but constructively in politics.

A politics that delivers on hope

Hope has long been a cultural and philosophical virtue. Today, it is a political necessity. The global community faces daunting challenges (from climate change to income inequality) but it also possesses extraordinary resources and knowledge to address them. What is needed is a deliberate shift in political imagination: from crisis management to opportunity-building.

A politics of poverty and hope does not deny risks. It acknowledges trade-offs and recognizes that not all outcomes will be win-win. But it insists that progress is possible and that despair is not an option. For billions of people in the Global South, hope is not a luxury; it is survival.

Policymakers therefore bear a responsibility: to design institutions that convert evidence-based optimism into durable progress. More optimism should guide international cooperation, national strategies, and local governance alike. The politics of sustainability cannot be sustained by fear alone. It must be anchored in hope. Hope that is realistic, urgent, and above all, actionable.